Remaining areas fall into the category of equal chances for below-, near-, or above-average seasonal mean temperatures.Near-normal seasonal mean temperatures are most likely for a region from the south-central Rockies to the southern Plains.The greatest odds for warmer-than-average conditions are in Alaska, the Pacific Northwest and northern New England.Warmer-than-average temperatures are favored across the northern tier of the U.S.Drought is likely to develop or intensify across the northern Rockies, northern Great Plains, portions of the desert Southwest, and the interior Pacific Northwest this winter. Large areas of the United States are expected to see drought improvements over the coming winter (light brown, green). NOAA forecasters, in collaboration with the National Integrated Drought Information System (NIDIS), continue to monitor extreme, ongoing drought conditions that have persisted through the southern and central U.S. “An enhanced southern jet stream and associated moisture often present during strong El Niño events supports high odds for above-average precipitation for the Gulf Coast, lower Mississippi Valley and Southeast states this winter,” said Jon Gottschalck, chief of the Operational Prediction Branch of the Climate Prediction Center. ![]() White areas mean equal chances for all three possible outcomes. Out of three possible precipitation outcomes for the coming winter-much wetter than average, much drier than average, or near average-NOAA Climate Prediction Center's outlook for December-February says that odds are leaning toward a much drier than average winter for northern states from the Great Lakes to eastern Washington and toward a much wetter than average winter across the South, with the highest odds of a relatively wet winter in the Southeast. “With a strengthening El Niño and more potential climate extremes in an already record-breaking year, we’re lucky to have scientists like those at the Climate Prediction Center helping to build a Weather and Climate-Ready Nation by providing critical operational seasonal climate predictions.”įrom December through February, NOAA predicts wetter-than-average conditions for northern Alaska, portions of the West, the southern Plains, Southeast, Gulf Coast and lower mid-Atlantic and drier-than-average conditions across the northern tier of the U.S., especially in the northern Rockies and High Plains and near the Great Lakes. “These outlooks provide critical guidance on the upcoming season for many industries and sectors of our economy, from energy producers to commodities markets to agricultural interests to tourism,” said Sarah Kapnick, Ph.D., NOAA chief scientist. Gray areas mean near-average temperatures are a little more likely than either warmer- or cooler-than-average temperatures. White areas have equal chances for a relatively cool, warm, or average winter. ![]() Please consult your device documentation for instructions.According to NOAA Climate Prediction Center's outlook for December-February 2023-24, the chances of a warmer-than-average winter (orange and red) are higher than the chances of a cooler-than-average winter across much of the northern part of the country, including Alaska, and most of Hawaii. On mobile devices, you can save the bookmark as an easy-access icon similar to other apps. For example, if you select "Weather for a location," then select a location, the bookmark will return to your location on your next visit. You may bookmark the URL to return later to the same view with the selected settings. The URL will automatically update as you select the view and settings. This view is similar to a radar application on a phone that provides radar, current weather, alerts and the forecast for a location. This view combines radar station products into a single layer called a mosaic and storm based alerts. This view provides specific radar products for a selected radar station and storm based alerts. This site is organized into views that provide relevant radar products and weather information for a common task or goal.
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